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Guest post by Faza of The Cynical MusicianOdd as it may seem, people apparently still don’t understand how streaming music works. Spotify has been a thing for years and there’s a fair number of competitors these days, as well. Despite the vast trove of experience available to anyone with a stake in the music biz (or an internet connection), everyone seems dead set on getting it wrong. Again.With Spotify poised to finally go public (which is a story in itself), it seems like it’s a good time for me to pick up the Cynical Musician’s Burden.This specific post was inspired by the anti-Spotify diatribe of Gareth Emery – “a UK-based DJ with more than 1.1 million Spotify followers” – recently posted on Digital Music News. Emery is also “the founder of an Ethereum-based streaming music platform called Choon” – which may, or may not, colour his views on Spotify. Regardless, the amount of confusion present in his post makes me question the wisdom of getting involved in any business venture he’s fronting.Emery writes:Spotify has always been run for the benefit of the major record labels – all of which are shareholders – whilst artists get crumbs from the table.The whole system is cloaked in secrecy, nobody knows how much they’re going to get paid or when. It can take over a year to get paid for a stream, and up to two years. Even with over a million listeners, and tens of millions of streams, I couldn’t rely on Spotify for an income — so it blows my mind how smaller artists are supposed to manage?Apart from the last sentence, the whole thing is pure, unadulterated bollocks.Spotify has always been run for the sole benefit of Spotify – or rather: the benefit of Spotify insiders. The details of their upcoming public debut only serve to reinforce this. The major labels have managed to grab a slice of that pie – in terms of equity – which was a smart move, but it’s wrong-headed to think that artists’ issues with Spotify are due to major label meddling.There’s also very little that’s secret about the system. Not anymore.A further excerpt:[…] the amount paid is tiny – and nobody can tell me how much one stream of one of my tracks is worth. Very little is the answer. I have a million monthly listeners on Spotify and I couldn’t rely on it for an income, it probably makes up less than one percent of my income. Touring is the only reliable way an artist can make money these days.This is a feature. You literally can’t have streaming-as-we-know-it without this problem.And one more:But there’s no lack of money in the system. Spotify yesterday said it enjoyed €4.09 billion in revenues last year. It even boasted that gross margins increased by 14% to 21% thanks to “new licensing deals with music rights holders” – i.e. paying the artists even less than before. The real people benefiting are the shareholders, and these shareholders include all the major record labels.Again with the major labels. Whatever goes wrong – it’s the major labels’ fault. Just stop, please. You’re making a fool of yourself.The major labels make a convenient scapegoat (together with “antiquated” models dating back to “the days of jukeboxes and sheet music”) that always comes up when people realize that the music business in the internet age sucks. It is also the tell-tale mark of a huckster that’s selling their patent brand of “what’s-the-new-secret-sauce-these-days?-blockchain?” snake oil.Just say no.There’s really no deep, dark secret here. The business model behind Spotify was always going to work the way we see it doing. I’ve already outlined the fundamental problems nearly ten years ago, and showed you some nice formulas to illustrate the matter six years ago. People simply aren’t paying attention.Here’s a TL;DR breakdown of why things are the way they are:- Nobody knows how much a play is worth because listeners aren’t paying to listen – this can be taken in the strong sense (where listening is free and ad-supported) or in the weak sense (where a user pays a fixed amount for access over a period of time, regardless of the number of songs actually listened to),
- There’s a fixed amount of money going into the system, being the number of users times revenue-per-user (this being capped at the maximum price of subscription), but the number of available tracks keeps growing. Artists are literally fighting for a sliver of the pie. There’s a lot of tracks and artists in the system, so the size of the individual slices is bound to be small,
- Major labels and distributors do fare somewhat better than individual artists, but that’s only because they get a share from a large number of artists/tracks,
- There’s little to differentiate the various streaming services, because everyone is trying to serve exactly the same music (everything available) and the experience of listening to your favourite tracks on one or the other isn’t that different. For this reason, the main competition between the services will ultimately be on price, driving the already miniscule payouts even lower,
- Streaming uptake won’t save you, because the number of artists/tracks is guaranteed to grow faster than the number of users,
- The actual number of streams you’re getting don’t mean jack. The only thing that matters is how many streams you’re getting relative to everyone else.